Grant’s 2016 Season Review

Minnesota at Texas

Original Story + Graphs by: Grant Morfitt

Another season in the books for the Salmon League and it was a tight one. 7 teams over 500 ball yet only 6 get in. With some new knowledge on how everyone would do against everyone else any given week and a true SOS shown, things got heated for some down the stretch.

First off, let’s go all the way back to the beginning of the year and revisit our draft. Once the draft is over it’s a mad fight for who did good, who did bad, who picked the most sleepers, and overall just who was paying attention. Well now that we have a full season in the books, how was everyone’s draft in reality? I took everyone’s teams they drafted and compiled their stats through the last day of our regular season, no moves, just the team you drafted, including your keepers. This is what the stats look like:

001

One note is that for OBP, ERA, and WHIP, I was unable to weight that to AB and IP, so a great reliever could bring down ERA and WHIP, but also the opposite is true for a pitcher who had only 1 start who got hurt (Tyson Ross).

I took the liberty of ranking each category 1-14 and then giving everyone a sum, more is good, to get a final rank of everyone’s draft. I have also included my initial rankings after the draft took place:

Actual Rank                                                                        Initial Rank

In looking at the actual ranking we see that all the playoff teams were in the top of the league, ZIMA and money grubbers were way up but missed the playoffs.

Next we look at each category and who was the winner and the loser in each, and also what the difference would be per week from top to bottom, get a sense of how close each category was, except the average stats:

004005006007

So let’s take a look at the actual statistics from each team this year, this will be real simple, I’ve got a table that has each team and what they got for each category followed again by a ranking of those stats the same was as always, each category 1-14, with more being better.

008

009As you can see from the table to the left, roto rankings do not translate exactly into H2H rankings, this is just a ranking on team stats all year, doesn’t account for real greats weeks when you blow someone out, or also real bad weeks when you don’t get much in each category. So to make up for that I have my next section.

So because we are a H2H league, let’s take a look at a team’s statistical finish each week then average them to see where they placed on average within the league. As most people should know each week I publish the rankings giving 1-14 points to each category, and then the next week that would reset to be all equal again. Using all 22 weeks we can see where each team finished on average.

010So basically to read this, Genies finished on average as a little better than the 5th best team each week, which was the top. This also gives us a clearer picture on the playoffs, the only outliers really are ZIMA and Rush. This then also leads into the next section of being lucky.

With H2H, there is always going to be that luck factor, on any given week how well does the team you play perform, as well as your own team, and how would you have done against about anyone else in the league. I have tried to capture this in a number using my own method.

For any given week I calculated what was your best possible outcome, be that 14-0, or maybe 9-5. Then I also calculated the worse possible outcome. Taking your actual record we can see how much closer you are to your best record or worst record and take the difference to get the “luck factor.” Here is everyone’s luck factor.

011The bigger the positive number means that you are closer to your best overall record than your worse overall record.

Below are the same graphs I had for mid-year but for the whole year, again here is a little explanation.

First there is a graph showing your weekly statistical rank. This is based on a point system where the best you can get is 14 and the worse is 1, no matter how much ahead or behind you are (left axis).

Secondly over that is a graph showing your actual winning % for the week (right axis). In an ideal world those graphs would follow each other pretty closely, but they don’t always.

I have also included what I call the “Luck Factor.”

Well so here we go–

38 MPH Heaters:

012

Captain Jack Sparrow:

013

cracker jack:

014

Dome Dog:

015

Genies in a Bottle:

016

The Groundhogs:

024

High Cheese:

017

InSaNeAuDiO:

018

money grubbers:

019

Radioactive Rush:

020

Salmon Kings:

021

Sea Bass v11.0:

022

SL Disappointments:

023

ZIMA:

025

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SLB Amendment Voting Results

By: Commissioner Graves

2015 Amendments

In an odd-twist from the many, many times we have voted on amendments in the past – only one, singular proposal received enough support for voting this year.

Needless to say, the voting shouldn’t have been too burdensome for anyone, what with there being just one yes or no question to deal with on the ballot. That having been said, we only received votes from 12 out of 14 team owners, so that’s something special. Luckily, neither of the two additional votes could have swayed the end result, so their laziness – while pathetic and certainly warranting personal embarrassment and shame – has done nothing to impact the league in a negative fashion.

As always, the voting results are here for you to see, no hidden tallies or secret agendas.

Enough preamble, let’s jump right into the voting results:

Amendment Proposal: K vs K/9

Should SLB scoring for pitchers move from total strikeouts per week to strikeouts per nine innings?

Proposed by: Steven Kunkel
Endorsed by: Adam Hennig & Justin Kunkel

Voting Results:

2015 Amendment Proposal

What this Means: There will be no changes to our current scoring setup for the 2015 season.

* * * * * * * *

So there you have it. We’ve got no changes coming to the league in 2015. Democracy in action, y’all.

For now, I want to say thank you to those of you who took the time to vote and for our usual boatload of lively debate throughout the year.

I’ll reset the Amendments Page right here on the SLBlog to open up the floor for new amendment proposals.

How Important is a Hot Start in the Salmon League?

Today we’ve got a special treat as Steven takes a very well-researched, very in-depth look at the history and importance of getting off to a hot start in the Salmon League.

Baseball is a game about history, right?

Typically, come draft day you find yourself looking at a player’s career averages, career splits, or even years on the injury list. Obviously, every game matters, but I wanted to look into the Salmon League history and evaluate how important the first four weeks of the season actually are. History being a fine thing to look at, I chose to go back to our previous seasons.

While this can’t, unfortunately, cover every year of the Salmon League (Changing scoring methods only in 2005) and this is the only year we have had 12 members, it was hard to come up with completely accurate data. However, the proof behind whether the first four weeks are important are in the pudding.

I will first begin by laying out where the team would have finished statistically had the season ended after the fourth week. Following that, I will then reveal where they actually finished, including records.
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Scoring Starts in Week 2

UPDATE

Hey y’all…just a heads up, according to Yahoo! our league won’t start scoring until Week 2 because you need to draft prior to March 29th to start scoring in Week 1.

This is just like last year, because the first official game of the season will be played on April 5th…and the rest of baseball kicks off on Monday.

As such, we’ll have the first week off–again–as a “panic and adjust your roster unnecessarily” kind of week.