Draft Review and Rankings 2015

2015 draft review rankings
In what is probably a record, the draft review and rankings are completed and ready for public consumption just a little over a week since the draft and well before the season begins and everyone’s roster has been turned inside out.

As always, I want to make it very clear that there is no science or metrics (or legitimacy) to these rankings. It is completely subjective and based on my opinions toward players, their value, their abilities, and where/when you drafted them in relation to my perceived views of value elsewhere in the draft.

Just because I ranked you near the bottom doesn’t mean you won’t/can’t win this thing.

I’ve had a lot of people take these things personally over the years and that’s just redonkulous. These are no more accurate or telling about potential success than if any one of you were to randomly write a ranking yourself. It’s all opinion.

That having been said, there are a few rules I tried to stick to when doing the rankings.

I tried to avoid using any players you’ve acquired since the draft and – aside from occasional mentions – I tried to avoid factoring your keepers into your team strength. I really wanted to focus on JUST the draft itself. Obviously, I probably screwed up somewhere along the way, my apologies for that if/when you see it.

Additionally, I tried to avoid giving anyone credit for a “best pick” within the first three rounds, because it’s really hard to give a guy praise for an early pick. Those are generally gimmie picks. At the same time, I also tried to avoid ragging on anyone with a “worst pick” in the final three picks of the draft as it’s often scrap heap time for a lot of teams who are stockpiling NA or DL-stashes or—if you’re drafting correctly—your holds guy.

That doesn’t, however, mean that some of you didn’t have your “best pick” in the final three or your “worst pick” in the first three. It happened, a couple of times actually.

Also, just so y’all have an idea of how this works, I generally rank the teams immediately after the draft based on “gut feel.” After that I take some time to dig through the rosters and look at some stats, but I generally go with my “gut feel” for the final rankings. Some teams will move up or down the more I look at them (there’s a prime example of that this year), but for the most part the ranking is reflective of how I felt on draft day after round 17.

As always, I’d love some feedback – love it, hate it, wish I’d die in a chemical fire – hit me with it.

Alrighty, enough of me rambling, let’s do this thing, without any further ado; here is the 2015 Draft Review and Rankings…

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Grant’s 2015 Draft Rankings

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Grant Morfitt – general manager of Radioactive Rush and absentee drafter – has put together some rankings for the 2015 SLB draft.

Here’s how he put these rankings together: “I averaged out projection from ZiPS, Streamer, and Forcaster, with just our draft guys, pitted the numbers in each category against each other and then added them up to get a rank. Here would be the best teams w/o keepers based on those three projection systems.”

There you have it, without any further ado, here are Grant’s 2015 SLB Draft Rankings:

14. Radioactive Rush
13. Genies in a Bottle
12. Dome Dog
11. money grubbers
10. InSaNeAuDiO
09. Captain Jack Sparrow
08. Sea Bass v10.0
07. ZIMA
06. TheFightingFernandos
05. High Cheese
04. Dominators
03. 38 MPH Heaters
02. cracker jack
01. SL Disappointments

What do you think? Does this look right to you or do you think Grant missed the mark?

Let’s hear it in the comments.

Steven’s 2015 Draft Rankings

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Steven Kunkel – the official statistician of SLB – has compiled his rankings of the 2015 Salmon League draft.

Below are his rankings and his 50-word rundown of each team’s draft day performance.

14. InSaNeAuDiO

It started out with Cueto, but it went pretty downhill from there. Especially with Lester, Gray, Samardzija, Cobb, and Cole going in round 3 – this team could have really gone a different route. Especially when it comes to Utley, Pompey, and Turner. One of those guys doesn’t actually have a starting position. It’ll take some real work to turn this one around.

13. ZIMA

On the surface this draft looks like it could be a win as it’s loaded with top-level talent in Posey, Cano, Springer, Carpenter, Kershaw. Except, once you get beyond that you start asking youself “what is this guy going to do?” Trumbo, Baez, J.D. Martinez, Adams, Arrieta, McHugh, Keuchel all have very brief levels of success. Combined it’s just too much of a combined risk to feel like this team is going anywhere in ‘15.

12. money grubbers

I’m not following where the big magoo is going with this draft. Morneau doesn’t feel like an equatable 1B to the rest of the league anymore. Moss is good and moved to a more hitter friendly park, but stayed the same in what was supposed to be his “breakout” year – now he’s just a year older. Segura has been stated as the overdraft of the draft and Rosario doesn’t actually have a starting spot anymore. In addition, Napoli had 55 RBI in 415 at bats with bad hips. What’s the forward projection on that move with Craig sitting in the wings? I believe in Mike, but I don’t believe in the direction he went with this one.

11. Radioactive Rush

Grant played the homer card. Santana, Arcia, Hughes, and Perkins all reside on this roster. The problem is they’re all Twins, not Nationals. Include, soon-to-be replaced by Lindor, Jose Ramirez and, never actually been good, Domonic Brown into this list and you get a #11 ranking. Grant’s most redeeming factor was that he has Harvey, Hughes, Lester, and Paxton in his starting rotation, which is why he got this nod over Mike. I just believed in the quality of his pitching more.

10. High Cheese

Price, Zimmermann, Ross, Cashner. Levi’s pitching is top notch, but his hitting doesn’t inspire much confidence. I don’t think a team can get away with Kendrick, Alvarez, Escobar, and Martin as a combined unit and I’m not convinced Cruz is going to keep jacking 40 bombs. There’s a power and speed combination here, but the names don’t inspire confidence from this projector. Levi has some work to do to make it 5 years in a row.

09. SL Disappointments

John is still sitting on fantasy baseball gold in Jose Bautista and he just added Kyle Seager to the mix without losing Pence. He also put together one of the strongest rotations in fantasy baseball by grabbing Hamels, Wainwright, Latos, and Archer. However, he’s probably in need of one more masher to make up for Gordon, Hosmer, and Murphy; especially when two of those aren’t getting you 20 SBs.

08. Genies in a Bottle

Jeremiah called my ranking garbage and there are likely a few that agree. However, he ended up here because his best pitcher still remains Gio Gonzalez – the 5th starter on the Nationals. What is a guy supposed to do with that when the offense is predicated on high upside picks like Carter, Wong, Betts, and Soler? The pitching needed to be better.

07. cracker jack

Since 2005 this cat has missed the playoffs once. My guess is that he doesn’t actually end up here. However, these are the players on his team that missed an extensive amount of games last year due to injury: Molina, Votto, Sandoval, Ramirez, Ellsbury, Harper, Fielder, Belt, Wacha, and Bailey. Justin sniped every possible injury risk dude on the planet this year and as the saying goes “It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Lets see how it works out of them?” Granted, since he’ll only own 3 of these guys at the end of the season, it probably doesn’t matter.

06. Captain Jack Sparrow

Listen, my analysis wasn’t necessarily a true draft analysis. I included the trade that occurred literally 14 seconds after the draft had ended and, in all reality, that trade hurt Captain Jack’s stock a little bit. Captain Jack’s team now revolves around Stanton and the 50 homer power he possesses. Finishing 6th kind of depends on how Jose Fernandez returns, but if you asked me if I thought Matt Harvey was going to be awesome when he returned, I would have said yes. I think Travis will be just fine with this mix.

05. TheFightingFernandos

The groundhog officially landed on the “don’t sit next to this mother fricker” list this year because he’ll literally cheat off of you, but that doesn’t stop him from having a very nice mixture of talent going into the season. Cole, Wood, and Pineda are primed to take off and he has a nice power/speed combo that doesn’t get degraded by low OBPs. He’s set to contend.

04. Sea Bass v10.0

ALL of his guys hit homers and half of those guys steal 20 bases too and that doesn’t even count the fact that he has a 3rd basemen whose ready to hit 123 homeruns in a season. Add in the fact that he has Bumgarner, Gray, Carrasco, and Ventura to anchor his staff and you’re looking at one bad mother fricker. Craig, your team has what it takes this year. Be careful with it.

03. Dominators

I’m pretty high on me. I mean, I think I’m pretty smart. In reality, if you look at it with a questioning eye, I’m probably over ranking myself. We don’t know if Kipnis is going to stay healthy. We don’t know what’s going to happen with Bogaerts or Polanco and we have no idea if Miller, Fiers, or Peralta are going to pitch well at all. However, my top end talent is top of the line and Jayson Werth as a bench player makes my day every time. I’m sticking with it and I’m sticking with it hard!

02. Dome Dog

Chris Davis in round one made me puke and Adam has no speed to work with. However, all of these 30-year-old hitting superstars coming together on one team reeks of something that’s about to work and work in a big way. I hate Adam’s bench and I think he’s trying to grab lightning in a bottle twice with his relief pitching, but he’s done something intriguing here and I like it.

01. 38 MPH Heaters

Morgan’s pitching staff is the best pitching staff in the league and when he dumps Brandon McCarthy to get another holds guy it’s going to be even that much better. Morgan rode a very similar team to a championship last year as it was pitching heavy and balanced. He’s done a similar thing this year with high OBP guys and a mixture of some that hit homeruns and some that steal bases. Yes, this ranking comes post trade, but it appears Morgan has put together another winner as long as Andrus doesn’t burn the whole strategy down because of how terrible he is.

It looks like Steven sees a repeat for Morgan in the future.

Agree? Disagree?

Let’s hear it in the comments.

Official 2015 Keepers

keepers2015

This page will be updated when keepers are either made public by an owner or after the deadline when all keepers need to be submitted to the commissioner.

The deadline is 5pm (Central) on Saturday, March 14th.

money grubbers

moneygrubbers0012015 Keepers:

Andrew McCutchen (PIT – OF)
Nolan Arenado (COL – 3B)
Corey Kluber (CLE – SP)

Draft Priority: 1

Genies in a Bottle

genies_draftlogo2015 Keepers:

Adrian Beltre (TEX – 3B)
Carlos Santana (CLE – C/1B/3B)
Gio Gonzalez (WAS – SP)

Draft Priority: 2

ZIMA

zima0012015 Keepers:

Robinson Cano (SEA – 2B)
Buster Posey (SF – C/1B)
Clayton Kershaw (LAD – SP)

Draft Priority: 3

Sea Bass v10.0

seabass0012015 Keepers:

Carlos Gomez (MIL – OF)
Kris Bryant (CHC – 3B)
Madison Bumgarner (SF – SP)

Draft Priority: 4

SL Disappointments

SLD2015 Keepers:

Jose Bautista (TOR – 1B/OF)
Kyle Seager (SEA – 3B)
Mat Latos (MIA – SP)

Draft Priority: 5

Dome Dog

dome_dog_logo2015 Keepers:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL – SS)
Edwin Encarnacion (TOR – 1B)
Chris Sale (CWS – SP)

Draft Priority: 6

Radioactive Rush

radioactiverush0012015 Keepers:

Adam Jones (BAL – OF)
Paul Goldschmidt (ARI – 1B)
Matt Harvey (NYM – SP)

Draft Priority: 7

insane-audio-logoInSaNeAuDiO

2015 Keepers:

Miguel Cabrera (DET – 1B/3B)
Todd Frazier (CIN – 1B/3B)
James Shields (SD – SP)

Draft Priority: 8

Dominators

dominators-logo2015 Keepers:

Mike Trout (LAA – OF)
Anthony Rizzo (CHC – 1B)
Felix Hernandez (SEA – SP)

Draft Priority: 9

Captain Jack Sparrow

captainjack0032015 Keepers:

Yasiel Puig (LAD – OF)
Michael Brantley (Cle – OF)
Max Scherzer (Was – SP)

Draft Priority: 10

cracker jack

crackerjack0012015 Keepers:

Hanley Ramirez (BOS – SS/OF)
Bryce Harper (WAS – OF)
Stephen Strasburg (WAS – SP)

Draft Priority: 11

High Cheese

highcheese0012015 Keepers:

Freddie Freeman (ATL – 1B)
Anthony Rendon (WAS – 2B/3B)
David Price (DET – SP)

Draft Priority: 12

TheFightingFernandos

The Fighting Fernandos 2015 Logo2015 Keepers:

Ryan Braun (MIL – OF)
Jose Abreu (CHW – 1B)
Zack Greinke (LAD – SP)

Draft Priority: 13

38 MPH Heaters

38mph0012015 Keepers:

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA – OF)
Josh Donaldson (TOR – 3B)
Julio Teheran (ATL – SP)

Draft Priority: 14