How Important is a Hot Start in the Salmon League?

Today we’ve got a special treat as Steven takes a very well-researched, very in-depth look at the history and importance of getting off to a hot start in the Salmon League.

Baseball is a game about history, right?

Typically, come draft day you find yourself looking at a player’s career averages, career splits, or even years on the injury list. Obviously, every game matters, but I wanted to look into the Salmon League history and evaluate how important the first four weeks of the season actually are. History being a fine thing to look at, I chose to go back to our previous seasons.

While this can’t, unfortunately, cover every year of the Salmon League (Changing scoring methods only in 2005) and this is the only year we have had 12 members, it was hard to come up with completely accurate data. However, the proof behind whether the first four weeks are important are in the pudding.

I will first begin by laying out where the team would have finished statistically had the season ended after the fourth week. Following that, I will then reveal where they actually finished, including records.

You may come up with your own conclusions. As we all know, throughout league history 6 members of the league have made the playoffs.

2005:

1) Genies in a Bottle: .672 (41-20): Finished 2nd

2) [cracker_jack]: .637 (37-21): Finished 1st

3) J’s Team: .559 (33-26): Finished 3rd

4) Ligers: .534 (31-27): Finished 4th

5) Beavers Liquors: .459 (28-33): Finished 7th

6) Salad Eaters: .431 (25-33): Finished 6th

7) InSaNeAuDiO: .387 (24-38): Finished 5th

8) taradacy!!!: .327 (20-41): Finished 8th

2006:

1) bonds’ batboys: .678 (38-18): Finished 7th

2) The Dominators: .568 (33-25): Finished 1st

3) Sea Bass: .525 (31-28): Finished 5th

4) Suckenheimers: .524 (32-29): Finished 4th

5) J’s Team .508 (29-28): Finished 6th

6) Genies in a Bottle: .436 (24-31): Finished 2nd

7) massacre…er…ers: .400 (24-36): Finished 3rd

8) I Want To Score: .362 (21-37): Finished 8th

2007:

1) Captain Jack Sparrow: .615 (32-20): Finished 4th

2) Sea Bass 2.0: .596 (34-23): Finished 2nd

3) money grubbers: .573 (35-26): Finished 1st

4) Philanthropists: .551 (32-36): Finished 7th

5) InSaNeAuDiO: .547 (29-24): Finished 6th

6) Genies in a Bottle: .524 (32-29): Finished 3rd

7) The Dominators: .491 (28-29): Finished 9th

8) bonds’ batboy: .436 (24-31): Finished 5th

9) cracker jack: .396 (23-35): Finished 8th

10) J’s Team: .275 (16-42): Finished 10th

2008:

1) Captain Jack Sparrow: .711 (37-15): Finished 4th

2) Sea Bass 3.0: .667 (32-16): Finished 10th

3) money grubbers: .553 (31-25): Finished 6th

4) The Dominators: .526 (30-27): Finished 8th

5) InSaNeAuDiO: .483 (29-31): Finished 9th

6) Team Rocky: .469 (23-29): Finished 7th

7) cracker jack: .456 (26-31): Finished 5th

8) Genies in a Bottle: .415 (22-31): Finished 3rd

9) bonds’ batboy: .392 (22-34): Finished 2nd

10) J’s Team: .372 (19-32): Finished 1st

2009:

1) Captain Jack Sparrow: .673 (35-17): Finished 1st

2) Genies in a Bottle: .673 (35-17): Finished 3rd

3) money grubbers: .568 (29-22): Finished 2nd

4) ZIMA: .540 (27-23): Finished 4th

5) Shamwow Snuggies: .500 (25-25): Finished 9th

6) J’s Team: .489 (24-25): Finished 5th

7) cracker jack: .469 (23-26): Finished 6th

8) Sea Bass 4.0: .461 (24-28): Finished 8th

9) InSaNeAuDiO: .333 (15-30): Finished 10th

10) The Dominators: .244 (12-37): Finished 7th

As you look at the carnal numbers involved in the Salmon League’s past, what I believe is most eye popping is that in four of the five years listed above, five of the teams that began the year in the top six after four weeks ended up in the playoffs.

Each year, simply one person dropping out while another team supplanted them in the playoffs.

Only in 2008, possibly the strangest fantasy year ever, has there been a difference in this trend where only 2 teams who began the first four weeks in the top 6 ended up making it to the playoffs.

Overall, this depends where you sit in the standings. If you’re in the bottom six, you obviously hope for a 2008 type of year. Personally, I want history to continue to repeat itself.

History is such a funny thing! Yes, it appears, the first 4 weeks DO matter. Yes, the first four weeks matter A LOT.

Just so everyone knows, this year is already epic:

1) money grubbers: .803 (41-10): ?

2) The Dominators: .750 (36-12): ?

3) 38 MPH Heaters: .653 (32-17): ?

4) Radioactive Rush: .566 (30-23): ?

5) Dome Dog: .551 (27-22): ?

6) J’s Team: .540 (27-23): ?

7) Sea Bass 5.0: .458 (22-26): ?

8) InSaNeAuDiO: .440 (22-28): ?

9) ZIMA: .382 (18-20): ?

10) Genies in a Bottle: .375 (18-30): ?

11) cracker jack: .306 (15-34): ?

12) S.L. Disappointment: .130 (6-40):?

Not only do we have two new members. We have also broken epic standards.

Two teams—money grubbers and The Dominators—have already put together the two best starts EVER in the Salmon League. Congrats to Mike for breaking the record officially.

On the flipside, S.L. Disappointment is off to the worst start in league history. Breaking the record for futility posted just one year ago by The Dominators.

How will this year completely play out? It’s anyone’s guess…

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5 thoughts on “How Important is a Hot Start in the Salmon League?

  1. The Kunk May 3, 2010 / 9:32 pm

    How Epic is it?

    Like

  2. The Kunk May 3, 2010 / 9:34 pm

    BTW…no way that 5 of the top 6 can do it again this year. 12 teams is going to make the playoff push much more interesting. i could easily see only 3 or 4 of the top teams making that playoffs. more teams makes for more probabilities.

    Like

    • Jeremiah Graves May 3, 2010 / 9:51 pm

      I’m excited to see where we all sit come the All-Star break.

      One month is intriguing, but we all know that there are plenty of key-players on teams who aren’t even hitting/pitching well yet.

      Prince Fielder, Mark Teixeira, Jason Kubel, etc…are all JUST starting to warm up now. Think how different some of these teams will look when the hot starts (ie: Guillen, Jose) start to fade and reality sets in…

      Like

      • Steven Kunkel January 3, 2011 / 2:57 pm

        Mike was correct. Only 4 of the 6 teams made the playoffs.

        Although, mainly because both teams in the top 6 in the first month played their hands horribly for the rest of the year.

        Who trades TWO keepers?!?!

        Like

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